*Disclosure: I own shares in GEO.to. I am not a professional. Please do your own due diligence.
Price: $2.74 CAD / $1.95 USD
MC: 99.4 million USD
EV: 99 million USD
1 year performance: +3%
GEO reported this morning and held a call. Results were ahead of my expectations and the stock was up 14% for the day.
*all numbers are in USD unless stated otherwise
Quarter Recap
Revenue came in at 41.2 million vs 32.6 million last year.
EBITDA came in at 10.7 million vs 6.2 million last year.
Receivable condition continues to improve.
Reached 17.5 million hours LTI (long term injury free).
Ended the quarter with 91 rigs.
Call Notes
They sounded confident in overall growth for the next 3-5 years.
Margins were higher than they expected.
Rig utilization is trending as expected.
It sounded like the contract shift to focus more on majors and less exploratory drilling are not as lucrative, but they have substantially less receivable risk.
Sounds like at some point they will reinstitute the dividend. I’m assuming later this year or early next year.
Valuation
Currently trading 3.7x EV/EBITDA. I think they are closer to 3x EV/EBITDA once they work through the tougher comps.
Closing Thoughts
I am not reading into the quarter as it is seasonally their strongest and the timing of Easter and the wet season make the quarters lumpy. Looking at ttm numbers is a better indicator of the business in my opinion.
The receivable position looks stronger than the last 2 quarters.
I think there is some multiple re-rating if gold and microcaps come back into favor.
I continue to hold my position here.
Thanks for reading.
Dean
* long GEO.to