*Disclosure: I own shares in OSS. I am not a professional. Please do your own due diligence.
Price: $0.72 CAD
MC: 87.9 million
EV: 79.9 million
1 year performance: +44%
OSS reported Thursday and held a call Friday. Results were behind my expectations and the stock was down 1% on low volume.
All amounts are in CAD unless stated otherwise.
Quarter Recap
Revenue came it at 2.9 million vs 2.2 million last year.
Up 32%.
Adj EBITDA was a loss of 244k vs a loss of 379k last year.
They mentioned that the top line was below their expectations and that there were some delays in signing contracts with customers.
The cash balance was away up to 8 million and deferred revenue was up to 6.2. million. This was due to the customers renewing their CIM contracts during Q1.
They reaffirmed guidance for the full year.
Call Notes
Outlook was as expected.
They are confident with the guidance issued and that they will hit it during the remaining 3 quarters.
The guidance doesn’t include any M&A which could support a higher topline.
With respect to M&A, they are focusing more on SME or subject matter experts. This would be similar to the IM group acquisition in 2022. There was 340k in M&A expenses this quarter so it looks like this is a large priority for them.
The crack and risk modules are progressing as expected.
There were two comments on the call that give me conviction in the opportunity with OSS.
They have only ever lost 2 customers and that was due to the customer being acquired.
They have not experienced customers reducing their use of CIM once they are on the platform.
Valuation
I have OSS trading at a 5.5-6x 2024 revenue. I think that is a fair price given the opportunity.
Closing Thoughts
I was given some comfort with the quarter after they reaffirmed guidance. As well, I was happy to hear the modules were on track. I have been a shareholder in OSS since 2017. This was before is was really cool to buy “disruptors”. I have trimmed and added over this time of course.
OSS has more potential than I originally thought. However, as they continue to build a bigger TAM they increase their expenses. I am not expecting a large amount of dilution from here, but there is the always increasing share count. Such things need to be considered for me.
It has been a long time since I profiled OSS. I have been debating doing a full write-up on the opportunity as it continues to have a spot in my portfolio.
I continue to hold.
Thanks for reading.
Dean
* long OSS.v